No mystery weather math

How the brief decides what to bring

Smallweather applies a short, consistent set of rules to the forecast. The goal is a useful first answer—not a guarantee or a replacement for official alerts.

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The decision rules

Four signals, one practical summary

These thresholds are intentionally simple and visible so you can decide whether the advice fits you.

☂ Umbrella

Rain in the next 12 hours

A 55% or higher peak hourly rain chance—or current rain, showers, or thunderstorms—prompts “Bring an umbrella.” From 30% through 54%, the brief suggests that a compact umbrella may be worthwhile.

◷ Rain timing

The most useful wet window

Smallweather scans the next 24 forecast hours for consecutive hours at or above a 40% rain chance. It shows the longest upcoming window and its peak probability, in the location's local time.

◇ Layers

What it feels like outside

Guidance follows the apparent temperature: bundle up at 35°F or below, take a warm layer through 52°F, and consider a light layer through 66°F. At 80°F and above, the advice shifts toward dressing light; at 90°F and above, it also suggests carrying water.

↝ Changes and wind

Conditions that alter the answer

A daily high-to-low swing of at least 18°F can trigger a layers reminder in mild weather. A forecast daily gust of 35 mph or more adds a strong-gust warning to the practical summary.

What the brief does not do

A forecast, not a safety system

Thresholds cannot capture personal comfort, microclimates, severe-weather risk, or every kind of precipitation. Check official local alerts before travel or high-risk activities.

Smallweather displays the provider's latest location-local forecast and lets you switch between imperial and metric units. Searches and coordinates are never included in its anonymous product events.

Less forecast. More answer.

See what the next 12 hours mean for you.

Check your weather